By The American Conservatives, December 18, 2018 10:07:38 -0.27% Republicans in Congress are losing the support of their base and are in trouble, according to a new poll.
The Public Policy Polling survey found that in 2018, Republicans lost their two most powerful legislative majorities in the House and Senate.
Their gains are being undone by a host of factors.
One is the continuing decline of voters who lean Republican.
That’s an important development as the GOP faces off against President Donald Trump’s 2018 re-election bid.
In the Senate, Republican Sens.
Bob Corker and Tom Cotton are the only two senators who have not been reelected in 2020.
The two are viewed unfavorably by voters, with just 35 percent of voters saying they trust Corker to serve out the remainder of his term.
Meanwhile, 51 percent of Trump voters say they trust Cotton to serve the remainder.
A plurality of Trump supporters (41 percent) believe that Democrats have an agenda that is far-reaching, while just 22 percent say the same about Republicans.
In addition to the partisan divide, the Public Policy poll found that the Democratic Party has lost support among white, working-class voters.
The poll found a 10-point drop in their support, from 48 percent in 2020 to 36 percent in 2018.
The poll also found that support for Democrats among African-Americans has dropped 15 points, from 56 percent in 2019 to 42 percent in 2021.
That trend is mirrored in the national polls.
Among non-whites, support for the Democratic party has fallen by 13 points, to 34 percent.
The Democratic Party’s congressional gains are especially troubling given the party’s struggles to win back white working- and middle-class white voters in 2018 and 2020.
According to a poll conducted in March by Quinnipiac University, voters who identify as white working class were more likely to support Trump in 2020 than they were in 2020, and Trump was a better candidate than the Democratic nominee in 2020 for the white working classes.
The GOP, meanwhile, is losing its strongest support among whites with college degrees.
In 2020, Trump won the white college-educated vote by 11 points, while Cotton won the college-degree vote by 19 points.
This year, Trump has lost the college educated vote by just 5 points.
This has created a deep rift within the GOP, as well as within the party itself, in the years since Trump took office.
Many Republican lawmakers have been reluctant to back Trump or even openly criticize him.
In the Senate Republican leadership, for example, Sen. Lindsey Graham has not supported Trump or spoken out against his presidency, while Sen. Jeff Flake, who is a moderate Republican, has criticized Trump.
The latest Public Policy survey found, however, that support among Republicans has declined since 2020, as have support for Trump among GOP-leaning voters.
In fact, while support for Republicans among whites without a college degree dropped 13 points since 2020 to 38 percent, support among those with a college education rose 10 points to 46 percent.
The party’s share of voters without a high school diploma dropped 11 points to 35 percent, while its share of white voters with no high school education increased 11 points.
The Republican Party also has lost ground among independents, who were once the party of the GOP and were a big part of Trump’s coalition.
Independents now make up a mere 6 percent of the electorate, down from 7 percent in the last election.
Meanwhile the GOP’s share with a high degree of education, which includes a college or some college degree, has declined to 24 percent, from 30 percent in this poll.
While the decline in Republican support among voters without college degrees and the rise in Republican opposition to Trump among working- or middle-income voters has been noticeable, the poll also shows that Trump voters continue to be the party with the most support among Trump voters.
That group includes Trump supporters who backed him in 2020 and who are now backing Sen. Ben Sasse (R-NE).
The Public Polipic poll surveyed 1,076 registered voters from October 23 through November 1.
The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.